Aion-
Different market than NA/EU. I think there are a total of 4 NA servers, 2 of which are dead. Its not really a game that (most) fans of Rift have any desire to play
WoW-
The Pandas and talent tree changes ultimately wont matter, especially since the general sketch of the storyline is about 1,000,000 times more interesting then big dragon flies over head for 18 months. It will come down to if the game moves in a new direction, or stays stagnant. the problem with Cataclysm is the storyline was bad and the game stayed stagnant, and people werent happy with the second half of Wrath as it was.
Tera-
Wont have a noticeable impact.
Guild Wars 2-
Will have an impact. To think it wont is foolish. But its not like 50% of the population will leave. *MAYBE* 25%, of which many will stay subbed to Rift anyway.


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